CARP is Ruinous and NBI is Ruinous. Both valuation measures are elevated on their 0-100 scales.
Grizzly Bulls market indicators
Five custom measures look at the market from different angles: valuation, investor sentiment, broad macroeconomic conditions, and Treasury curve shape.Compare indicatorsEmbed IndicatorsGet started free
Market regime at a glance
These are separate measures, not a hidden composite score. Read agreement and disagreement across the lenses as context, then open each indicator for its methodology, history, and limitations.
MEI is Optimism at 83/100. This describes the current sentiment regime, not a forecast of the next market move.
TCIB is Normal Curve at 0/100 and CIBI is Mixed Inflation at 50/100. They describe Treasury curve shape and inflation acceleration breadth, while MCI's current broad-macro reading remains subscriber-only.
Five questions, one broader market view
No single indicator explains the market. Valuation, sentiment, broad economic conditions, and Treasury curve shape can tell very different stories at the same time.
Valuation
CARP and NBI approach market expensiveness from different directions. CARP compares stocks with Treasury yields, while NBI adjusts market-cap-to-GDP valuation for changing profit margins.
Sentiment
MEI compresses several measures of valuation, volatility, and risk appetite into one 0-100 reading designed to distinguish fear from euphoria.
Macroeconomics
MCI summarizes broad economic conditions, while TCIB measures how widely inversion has spread across the core Treasury yield curve. They are separate macro lenses, not interchangeable recession signals.
How we use the indicators
Systematic research input
CARP, NBI, MEI, and MCI are used as inputs in Grizzly Bulls' systematic trading research. TCIB is published as a separate curve-shape benchmark and is not presented as a standalone buy or sell signal.
Historical context
A score is more useful when you can see where it sits in prior regimes. Indicator pages pair the latest reading with available historical data, scale semantics, methodology, and limitations.
Independent evidence
When several different measures point in the same direction, that agreement can be more informative than repeatedly measuring the same market feature with slightly different formulas.
Built to cite and share
Public benchmark readings include dated observations with citation text, hosted widgets, and static image cards. Their canonical indicator pages remain the methodology source, while deeper history and component analysis can stay gated where appropriate.