Financial research concept

Homebuilder Backlog Average Contracted Price Growth

Homebuilder Backlog Average Contracted Price Growth measures the year-over-year change in average contracted price per backlog home.

By Lee BaileyPublished Sep 23, 2026
Research context

See what supports this page, how current it is, and where comparable or historical context is available.

Research date
Sep 23, 2026Use the dated article and cited sources for the definition, examples, and stated limitations.
Operating-model context
27 connected conceptsPart of the reviewed Homebuilder Operating Model; issuer definitions remain distinct where disclosed.
Company examples
1 reviewed companyRelationships reflect supported examples, not a normalized cross-company KPI ranking.

Homebuilder Backlog Average Contracted Price Growth measures the year-over-year change in average contracted price per backlog home.

Toll Brothers reported 1% year-over-year growth in average backlog contracted price at July 31, 2026.

Why it matters

This shows whether backlog mix and pricing are offsetting or amplifying changes in backlog units.

Investor caution

The measure is mix-sensitive and should not be read as a standardized home-price appreciation rate.

Source:

Part of the Homebuilder Operating Model

Connect land optionality, order intake, selling-community productivity, backlog, spec inventory, closing volume and price, conversion, margins, land investment, lot-supply duration, and mortgage capture to understand homebuilder demand, capital, delivery, and financing economics.

How the model fits together
  • Land optionality and downside exposure: Owned-versus-controlled lots show how much future land supply sits on the builder's balance sheet versus under purchase or option contracts. Lot-option deposits show capital placed at risk to preserve that flexibility, while inventory impairments reveal when carrying values no longer support expected economics.
  • Spec inventory and operating leverage: Unsold completed homes reveal finished speculative inventory risk. Home-sales gross margin measures the closing-level spread after the issuer-defined home sales cost base, while the SG&A ratio shows how corporate and selling overhead scales against homebuilding revenue.
  • Orders, backlog, delivery conversion, and financing capture: Net contracted units, contract value, average contracted price, community count, and per-community growth describe current order demand and selling-footprint productivity. Backlog units, value, average contracted price, and their year-over-year changes show the contracted delivery pipeline. Home closings, average closing price, and backlog conversion connect that pipeline to realized deliveries, while land investment, lot-supply years, and mortgage capture add future supply and financing context. Toll Brothers defines net contracts after cancellations and notes that spec homes can move from contract to delivery within a quarter, so backlog is not a complete measure of current sales activity.

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