Financial research concept

Homebuilder Backlog Value Growth

Homebuilder Backlog Value Growth measures the year-over-year change in aggregate backlog value.

By Lee BaileyPublished Sep 23, 2026
Research context

See what supports this page, how current it is, and where comparable or historical context is available.

Research date
Sep 23, 2026Use the dated article and cited sources for the definition, examples, and stated limitations.
Operating-model context
27 connected conceptsPart of the reviewed Homebuilder Operating Model; issuer definitions remain distinct where disclosed.
Company examples
1 reviewed companyRelationships reflect supported examples, not a normalized cross-company KPI ranking.
  1. Why it matters
  2. Investor caution
  3. Part of the Homebuilder Operating Model
  4. See It in Company Research
  5. Continue Research

Homebuilder Backlog Value Growth measures the year-over-year change in aggregate backlog value.

Toll Brothers reported a 2% year-over-year decline in backlog value at July 31, 2026.

Why it matters

Comparing backlog-value growth with backlog-unit growth helps reveal the role of contracted price and mix.

Investor caution

Backlog value is a contracted pipeline measure, not recognized revenue.

Source:

Part of the Homebuilder Operating Model

Connect land optionality, order intake, selling-community productivity, backlog, spec inventory, closing volume and price, conversion, margins, land investment, lot-supply duration, and mortgage capture to understand homebuilder demand, capital, delivery, and financing economics.

How the model fits together
  • Land optionality and downside exposure: Owned-versus-controlled lots show how much future land supply sits on the builder's balance sheet versus under purchase or option contracts. Lot-option deposits show capital placed at risk to preserve that flexibility, while inventory impairments reveal when carrying values no longer support expected economics.
  • Spec inventory and operating leverage: Unsold completed homes reveal finished speculative inventory risk. Home-sales gross margin measures the closing-level spread after the issuer-defined home sales cost base, while the SG&A ratio shows how corporate and selling overhead scales against homebuilding revenue.
  • Orders, backlog, delivery conversion, and financing capture: Net contracted units, contract value, average contracted price, community count, and per-community growth describe current order demand and selling-footprint productivity. Backlog units, value, average contracted price, and their year-over-year changes show the contracted delivery pipeline. Home closings, average closing price, and backlog conversion connect that pipeline to realized deliveries, while land investment, lot-supply years, and mortgage capture add future supply and financing context. Toll Brothers defines net contracts after cancellations and notes that spec homes can move from contract to delivery within a quarter, so backlog is not a complete measure of current sales activity.

See It in Company Research

These companies are examples of how the concept is reported or discussed in public filings. Definitions can differ by issuer; these links open company research rather than a normalized metric comparison.

Explore other companies in this operating model

These companies are linked to at least two other reviewed concepts in the same operating model, but are not currently linked to this concept. This is broader research navigation, not evidence that the company reports an equivalent metric.

Continue Research

Continue from the concept into the Grizzly Bulls research surface that best matches the next question. These links are research continuations, not recommendations or required steps.

Compare stocks

Compare homebuilder stocks

Continue into stock comparison for homebuilder orders, community productivity, backlog, delivery, land, and margin economics.

Continue research

Explore more topics in the Financial Research Encyclopedia.