← Grizzly Bulls Research

Megacap Buybacks and Diluted Share Count: Are Repurchases Shrinking Shares?

Seven of Nine Megacaps Had $227.475B of Observed Repurchases; Five of Six Positive-Buyback Issuers Reduced Diluted Shares
By Lee BaileyPublished September 25, 2026Filing cutoff September 21, 2026Cohort snapshot September 9, 2026Version 1.0
Megacap buyback study

$227.475 billion of observed repurchases did not guarantee a shrinking diluted share count.

Among the nine unique companies behind the S&P 500's ten largest security lines on September 9, 2026, seven had observable canonical stock-repurchase facts for their selected latest annual periods. Six showed positive repurchases. Five of those six also reduced diluted weighted-average shares, while Broadcom increased its diluted share count by 1.57%.

$227.475BObserved repurchases
Sum across the seven issuers with observable canonical repurchase facts.
5 of 6Positive-buyback issuers that reduced diluted shares
Broadcom was the positive-repurchase exception.
7 of 9Repurchase coverage
Amazon and Tesla are unobserved, not zero.
Diluted weighted-average shares are an earnings denominator. A lower diluted share count can coincide with repurchases, but this study does not treat repurchase dollars as a causal estimate of share-count reduction.

Apple accounted for the largest observed repurchase total

The seven covered issuers reported $227.475 billion of canonical stock-repurchase payments in their selected latest annual periods. Apple alone accounted for $90.711 billion. Micron's canonical value was an explicit zero.

Observed stock repurchases

Selected latest annual period for each covered issuer.

Observed stock repurchases in billions of U.S. dollars for the seven covered issuers.

AAPL$90.711B
Diluted-share change: -2.62%
GOOGL / GOOG$45.709B
Diluted-share change: -1.74%
NVDA$40.086B
Diluted-share change: -1.17%
META$26.248B
Diluted-share change: -1.53%
MSFT$22.271B
Diluted-share change: -0.16%
AVGO$2.450B
Diluted-share change: +1.57%
MU$0.000B
Diluted-share change: +0.63%

Five companies reduced diluted shares; four increased them

Apple had the largest decline at -2.62%, while Broadcom had the largest increase at +1.57%. The median change across all nine issuers was -0.16%.

CompanyLatest periodDiluted-share changeObserved repurchasesCoverageTop-10 weight
NVIDIA (NVDA)January 25, 2026-1.17%$40.086BObserved8.25%
Apple (AAPL)September 27, 2025-2.62%$90.711BObserved7.05%
Microsoft (MSFT)June 30, 2026-0.16%$22.271BObserved5.56%
Amazon (AMZN)December 31, 2025+0.99%UnobservedUnobserved3.76%
Alphabet (GOOGL / GOOG)December 31, 2025-1.74%$45.709BObserved5.31%
Broadcom (AVGO)November 2, 2025+1.57%$2.450BObserved2.63%
Meta Platforms (META)December 31, 2025-1.53%$26.248BObserved2.19%
Micron (MU)August 28, 2025+0.63%$0.000BObserved1.76%
Tesla (TSLA)December 31, 2025+0.86%UnobservedUnobserved1.58%

What this study can and cannot say

What it measures

Year-over-year change in diluted weighted-average shares for each issuer, paired with canonical stock-repurchase payments when those facts are observable.

What it does not measure

Diluted weighted-average shares are not point-in-time shares outstanding. The study does not attribute dilution specifically to stock-based compensation or calculate how many shares each repurchase dollar retired.

The nine companies come from the September 9, 2026 S&P 500 top-holdings snapshot. The ten security lines represented 38.09% of the index, with Alphabet appearing twice because its two share classes are separately weighted securities.

Methodology and limitations

Latest period

For each issuer, use the latest normalized annual period with diluted weighted-average shares publicly filed by the filing cutoff. Net income and stock repurchases are optional secondary observations from that same selected period.

Comparable prior period

Use the latest earlier normalized annual period ending 300 to 430 days before the selected latest period and containing diluted weighted-average shares.

Freshness

The selected latest annual period must end no more than 430 days before the filing cutoff; older observations fail measurement review rather than silently representing the current cohort.

Repurchase magnitude

Treat canonical stock-repurchase cash-flow facts as payment magnitudes by using the absolute reported value.

Share counts are company-specific units and must not be summed across issuers. Cross-company summaries may count direction of change and sum dollar-denominated repurchases only across issuers with observed repurchase facts.

Measurements use the SEC Company Facts API ↗. The public download contains the reviewed derived company rows, not raw SEC Company Facts records.

Download the reviewed company comparison

Research data

Public study files are available for verification and analysis. The Grizzly Bulls Data License covers these public downloads; third-party source records retain their own rights. Reuse terms →
  • CSVCompany comparison CSV
    Nine company rows with top-10 index weight, selected annual periods, diluted-share changes, observed repurchase values, coverage flags, and public accounting-concept provenance.
    Data snapshot September 21, 2026 · Reuse with attribution to the canonical study.
    Download CSV
  • JSONBuybacks and share-count JSON
    Structured public research data with cohort metadata, coverage counts, company comparisons, selected findings, SEC Company Facts source link, and methodology boundaries. CIKs, raw SEC records, source IDs, hashes, approval metadata, and review-gate internals are excluded.
    Data snapshot September 21, 2026 · Reuse with attribution to the canonical study.
    Download JSON

Citation and reuse

Lee Bailey. “Megacap Buybacks and Diluted Share Count: Are Repurchases Shrinking Shares?: Seven of Nine Megacaps Had $227.475B of Observed Repurchases; Five of Six Positive-Buyback Issuers Reduced Diluted Shares.” Grizzly Bulls, September 25, 2026. Version 1.0. Data snapshot September 21, 2026. https://grizzlybulls.com/research/megacap-buybacks-and-share-count

When citing the $227.475 billion total, describe it as the sum across the seven issuers with observable canonical repurchase facts, not all nine companies. When citing the share-count result, describe diluted weighted-average shares as an earnings denominator rather than point-in-time shares outstanding. For methodology questions or corrections, contact Grizzly Bulls research.